Stalin's
speech to the Politburo on 19 August 1939, reconstructed from renderings in Novyi Mir, Moscow, and Revue de Droit International, Geneva
Pieced together by Carl O. Nordling, Sweden.
Boldface
= in
both versions
Normal = only in Novyi Mir
Italics = only in Revue de Droit International
The
question of war and peace has entered a critical phase for us. Its solution depends entirely on the
position which will be taken by the Soviet
Union. We are absolutely
convinced that
if we conclude a mutual assistance pact
with France and Great Britain, Germany will back off from Poland and seek a modus vivendi with the Western Powers. War
would be avoided, but further events could prove dangerous for the USSR.
On the
other hand,
if we accept Germany's proposal, that
you know, and conclude a
non-aggression pact with her, she will certainly invade Poland, and the intervention of France and England is then unavoidable. Western Europe would be subjected to
serious upheavals and disorder. In this
case we will have a great opportunity to stay out of the conflict, and we could
plan the opportune time for us to enter the war.
The experience of the last 20 years has shown
that in peacetime the Communist movement is never strong enough for the
Bolshevik Party to seize power. The dictatorship of such a Party will only
become possible as the result of a major war.
Our
choice is clear. We must accept the German proposal and, with a refusal, politely send the Anglo-French mission
home.
It is
not difficult to envisage the importance which we would obtain in this way of
proceeding. It is obvious, for us, that Poland will be destroyed even before England and France are able to come to her assistance. In this case Germany will cede to us a part of Poland… Our immediate advantage will be to take Poland all the way to the gates of Warsaw, as well as Ukrainian Galicia.
Germany grants us full freedom of action in the Pribaltic/three Baltic States and recognizes
our claim on Bessarabia. She is prepared to acknowledge our interests in Romania Bulgaria and Hungary.
Yugoslavia remains an open question, the
solution of which depends on the position taken by Italy. If Italy remains at the sides of Germany, then the latter will require that Yugoslavia be understood as her zone of influence, and it is also by
Yugoslavia that she will obtain access to the Adriatic Sea. But if Italy does not go with Germany, then the latter will depend on Italy for her access to the Adriatic Sea, and in this case Yugoslavia will pass into our sphere of influence.
This in
case that Germany would emerge victorious from the war. We must, however, envisage the possibilities that will
result from the defeat as well as from the victory of Germany. In case of her defeat, a Sovietization of Germany will
unavoidably occur and a Communist government will be created. We should not
forget that a Sovietized Germany would bring about great danger, if this
Sovietization is the result of German defeat in a transient war. England and France will still be strong
enough to seize Berlin and to destroy a Soviet Germany. We would be unable to come effectually to
her assistance/to the aid of our Bolshevik comrades in Germany.
Therefore,
our goal is that Germany should carry out the war as long as possible so that
England and France grow weary and become exhausted to such a degree that they
are no longer in a position to put down a Sovietized Germany.
Our
position is this.
Maintaining neutrality and waiting
for the right time, the USSR will presently assist Germany economically and supply her with raw materials and provisions. It goes without saying that our assistance should not
exceed a certain limit; we must not
send so much as to weaken our economy or the power of our army.
At the
same time we must carry on active Communist propaganda in the Anglo-French
bloc, and predominantly in France. We must expect
that in that country in times of war, the Party should quit the legal means of
warfare and turn underground. We
know that their work will demand much
money/great sacrifices, but we must agree without hesitating to these sacrifices/our French comrades
will not hesitate. Their first task will be to decompose and demoralize the
army and the police. If this preparatory
work is fulfilled properly, the safety of Soviet Germany will be assured, and this will contribute to the Sovietization
of France.
For the realization of these plans it is
essential that the war continue for as long as possible, and all forces, which
we have available in Western Europe and the Balkans,
should be directed toward this goal.
Now let
us consider the second possibility, a German victory. Some think that this
would confront us with a serious danger. There
is some truth in this, but it would be a mistake to regard the danger as so
close at hand or as great as has been proposed.
If Germany should prove to be victorious, she will leave the war too
weakened to start a war with the USSR within a decade at least. She will have to supervise the occupation of France and England and to prevent
their restoration/restore herself.
In
addition, a victorious Germany will have vast colonies/territories; the exploitation of those and their adaptation to German methods will
also absorb Germany during several
decades.
Obviously,
this Germany will be too busy elsewhere to turn against us. There is one
additional thing that will strengthen our safety. In a conquered France, the French Communist Party will always be very strong. A Communist revolution
will unavoidably break out, and we will be able to exploit the situation and to
come to the aid of France and make her our
ally. In addition, all the nations that fall under the "protection"
of a victorious Germany will become our allies.
This presents for us a broad field of action for the initiation of world
revolution.
Comrades, I have presented my considerations to you. I repeat that it is in the interest of the USSR, the workers'
homeland that a war breaks out between
the Reich and the capitalist Anglo-French bloc. It is essential for us/Everything
should be done so that it drags out as
long as possible with the goal of weakening both sides. For this reason, it is imperative that we
agree to conclude the pact proposed by Germany, and then work in such a way that this war, once it is declared, will be prolonged maximally. We must strengthen our economic/propaganda work in the belligerent countries, in order to be prepared when the war
ends.
(For
the original text published in Revue de Droit International, see Stalin’s August
1939 Speech, French version; and for the version
published in Novyi Mir, see Stalin’s August 1939 Speech, Russian version. The essence of the speech agrees with the arguments presented in the circular published in the Svenska Pressen, Helsinki, on 8 September 1939, see Stalin's politburo explains Ribbentrop pact.)
Carl O. Nordling